As I described earlier, in January, from the point of view of ethnosocionics, the imminent fall of Yanukovych was completely obvious. And when the Ukrainian people overthrew the regime of V. Yanukovych in February, then the main factor that inspired and supported Yanukovych openly appeared on the scene – the leadership of the Russian Federation headed by V. Putin. If during the Maidan the Russian government launched an information war against the people's revolution on all state channels, then with the fall of the Yanukovych regime the information war moved from the virtual-ideological to the real plane, starting with the seizure of Crimea.
V. Putin's socionic type is an ethical-intuitive extrovert (EIE,AND, "Ideologist") and he is identical to the type of A. Hitler. That is why his strategy and behavior in the international arena are so similar to Hitler's, which has become obvious to many independent experts and politicians. These two politicians differ only in temperament, but this does not affect their deep identity. And if Hitler was obsessed with the idea of German nationalism and "living space" for Germans, then Putin is obsessed with a similar idea of the "Russian world" within the framework of the imperial state. Hence the cliche of "protecting Russians" in neighboring states, with the subsequent supposed annexation of their territories.
The integral type of the Russian state is LSI (LF, "Master"), that is, the type dual to the type of V. Putin. This explains the authoritarian features of the Russian state. This is a typical regime of the second quadra, which, like in Germany in the 1930s, enjoys the support of its population, since the integral type of the Russian people IEI is "Lyric", that is, it is in an activation relationship with it. This explains the success of government propaganda, when millions of people mindlessly and zombifiedly repeat chauvinistic slogans, despite the fact that their falsity is obvious to all countries and their peoples. At the same time, most of them do not have or do not use sources of alternative information – this is the specificity of the information and ideological policy of the second quadra. The bitter irony of history is that the Russians, "fighting fascism", did not notice the formation of an almost fascist regime among them, aggressive, suppressing dissent and preaching national-chauvinistic ideas. The only problem is that this regime is extremely corrupt and the percentage of "kickbacks" has already exceeded the growth of the economy. This is the reason for the economic depression that began earlier, which is starting to worsen due to sanctions and the flight of investors' capital due to the current crisis.
Ukrainian people with an integral type of EII (AND, "Humanist") is going through a difficult but fateful period in its history – the formation of a new state with a dual type of LSE (PS, "Administrator") when overthrown by means of a people's revolution and dismantling of the old, post-Soviet, with the LSI type "Master". Moreover, not an ethnic, but a political Ukrainian nation began to form intensively, without language distinctions, with the main value of a free civil society that controls its power. This is clearly evidenced by the multinational composition of the Maidan. But this is precisely what causes the particular hostility of the Russian ruling elite, since any possibility of control and subordination is sharply reduced. This is precisely why the Kremlin declares that it does not recognize the new government and this new state, although they are recognized by all countries of the world and the UN. Here we observe a sharply hostile attitude of the Russian second quadra to the values of the Ukrainian fourth quadra, which is again predicted and described by the socionic laws of intertype relations.
The only tool that the Russian second-quadron government has left is military force, or influence on aggressive volitional sensorics. That is, military aggression. And here the scythe has already met a stone. In Crimea, an armed clash with Ukrainian troops was expected, followed by a victorious legitimate invasion. However, in the Superego relationship between the "Master" and the "Humanist", the latter responds to the manifestation of three-dimensional aggressive volitional sensorics not with a forceful rebuff, but with a four-dimensional ethics of relations and a three-dimensional intuition of possibilities. Therefore, the Ukrainian military does not shoot, but resists bloodlessly, from time to time holding negotiations with the Russian military. Therefore, the Abkhazian scenario with shooting has already been thwarted. But the integral four-dimensional ethics of relations is the entire system of international relations and treaties. And this is what forced almost all countries of the world to condemn Russia's actions and support Ukraine. And considering that the ethics of relations, and even a four-dimensional one, is in the values of the integral types of the USA and Great Britain – guarantors of the territorial integrity of Ukraine, being the fifth function of their types, it is not difficult to understand their sharply negative reaction to Russia's violation of its treaty obligations in relation to Ukraine.
And here an interesting fundamental question from the point of view of socionics arises: What will ultimately win – the four-dimensional ethics of relations or the three-dimensional volitional sensorics? From simple dimensionality ratios, it is obvious that despite some tactical successes in capturing territories according to the three-dimensional creative aggressive-volitional sensorics, the strategically global four-dimensional ethics of relations of the Ukrainian mentality, connected with the world community, ultimately wins. If earlier the Maidan, behind which stood the people, crushed the bandit regime, now all of Ukraine as a huge Maidan, behind which stands the world community, will be able to crush the aggressor. Here we can recall the lines of the great poet: “The singer David was small in stature, but he defeated Goliath, who was both a general and – I swear – not lower than a count!” (A.S. Pushkin).
Another important point is related to the type of V. Putin. The seventh function of this type is also the ethics of relationships. This function is called controlling. At the same time, controlling and criticizing the actions of others, the "Ideologist" absolutely uncritically acts as he wants according to this function, that is, arbitrarily violates established relationships, agreements and obligations. As is known, Hitler acted this way. His collapse was natural.
And can a state exist for long whose leader openly lies, and the whole world knows that it is just a lie? It is obvious that such a state does not inspire any trust in the entire international community, even in its closest allies. It is incapable of negotiating, since it openly violates all international treaties. It is subject to international isolation and will be isolated like North Korea, with the application of all sorts of sanctions. It is dangerous, like a rabid animal, since it already threatens with nuclear weapons. But are the Russians, who are already living quite well, even in a chauvinistic frenzy, ready to burn in a nuclear fire in support of paranoid ideas? I don’t think so. But they will not be asked. Hitler, as is well known, before his death wanted all Germans to die as unworthy along with him. And V. Putin may quite predictably want the Russians to share his fate.
But the Ukrainians who went through Maidan have already looked death and repression in the face. Those who were on Maidan, on the barricades, all who participated in the revolution, said that they would rather die than live with this criminal regime. And they proved it with the "Heavenly Hundred" who died for freedom, as well as two thousand wounded, but not broken.
And the words of the Ukrainian anthem "We will lay down our soul and body for our freedom" are confirmed in reality. Therefore, the whole world supports Ukraine in its aspiration for freedom, as well as its territorial integrity.
Here, the factor of the position of the integral type of Ukraine in the system of the socion is also important – the system of all types of information metabolism. In the socion, considered similarly to the mental ring in model A, the fourth quadra systemically occupies the position of the fourth, problematic, one-dimensional function. But moreover, in the fourth quadra itself, the "Humanist" type fractally also occupies the fourth position, being the most one-dimensional and sensitive subsystem, especially in terms of volitional sensorics – sensorics of aggression within the entire socion and integral types of nations of modern civilization, being its most painful zone. This is precisely what caused such a violent reaction of the entire world community both to the Ukrainian revolution and to Russian aggression. It can be said that Russian strategists in the implementation of their plans did not take into account this factor, which will inevitably lead to isolation and the subsequent fall of the ruling Russian regime. This period can last from one to two years and depends on the scale of the sanctions. And since the aspect of the ethics of relations is dual to business and financial logic, then a large-scale violation of international relations automatically leads to large-scale (for the violator) financial losses, up to and including a blockade of the banking system.
And, for example, if oil prices fall, which the US and its partners are quite capable of achieving, then the economy and all the "imperial might" will collapse in a few months. Of course, there are options here. It also seems possible that the ruling elite will revolt and the ruling elite will be removed out of a banal sense of self-preservation. But it is somewhat difficult to specify the specifics now.
I cannot help but note the spiritual and moral aspect of the events. Prayer services were held on the Maidan every hour during the three months of confrontation, and even during the assaults. Many of the Maidan participants are deeply religious: they left for their, for many, last battle after confessing to a priest. And one of them, a wonderful guy from Prykarpattia, Vanya Kipezh, told me that they were not fighting Yanukovych, but Satan, who was directing him. And now Satan is inspiring Putin. And everyone is ready to fight. Because the Gospel tells us: "he who takes the sword will perish by the sword." Patriarch Filaret reminded us of this a few days before the fall of the Yanukovych regime, and recently repeated it in relation to the regime of V. Putin and his aggressive actions. And we have every reason to believe in this.
